Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.184281 0.200518 0.217751 0.237441 0.259363 0.283070 0.310717
2026-02-01 0.152955 0.175382 0.200772 0.231808 0.268946 0.312232 0.366909
2026-02-08 0.132697 0.157838 0.187629 0.225868 0.274129 0.333664 0.413679
2026-02-15 0.118840 0.145457 0.178150 0.221783 0.279292 0.353644 0.458957
2026-02-22 0.111085 0.139412 0.175322 0.224951 0.292982 0.384824 0.521474
2026-03-01 0.103028 0.132027 0.169779 0.223517 0.299711 0.406524 0.572538
2026-03-08 0.095657 0.124816 0.163661 0.220412 0.303329 0.423573 0.618064
2026-03-15 0.088584 0.117406 0.156578 0.215125 0.302966 0.434272 0.654472
2026-03-22 0.085918 0.115814 0.157340 0.220975 0.319297 0.471348 0.737023
2026-03-29 0.083016 0.113632 0.157012 0.225033 0.333039 0.505479 0.818802
2026-04-05 0.079372 0.110110 0.154428 0.225346 0.340728 0.530317 0.887332
2026-04-12 0.074360 0.104269 0.148000 0.219137 0.337193 0.535815 0.921124
2026-04-19 0.069368 0.098293 0.141166 0.212043 0.332000 0.538641 0.951709
2026-04-26 0.065482 0.093793 0.136354 0.207908 0.331529 0.549855 1.000488
2026-05-03 0.061711 0.089260 0.131210 0.202828 0.328925 0.556833 1.041589
2026-05-10 0.058591 0.085565 0.127163 0.199267 0.328638 0.567958 1.092758
2026-05-17 0.057070 0.084283 0.126878 0.202047 0.339974 0.602323 1.199302
2026-05-24 0.054834 0.081743 0.124388 0.200791 0.343671 0.621990 1.275929
2026-05-31 0.052472 0.078881 0.121203 0.198068 0.344317 0.635477 1.340176
2026-06-07 0.049913 0.075578 0.117107 0.193430 0.340851 0.640023 1.383424
2026-06-14 0.049313 0.075455 0.118352 0.198562 0.356956 0.687643 1.542376
2026-06-21 0.048459 0.074862 0.118746 0.202120 0.370182 0.730515 1.697443
2026-06-28 0.047098 0.073349 0.117455 0.202394 0.376649 0.758927 1.818852